By agreement with the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, we produce population projections for all Massachusetts municipalities at 5-year intervals to 2035, using a model developed by Dr. Henry Renski, Associate Professor of Regional Planning at UMass Amherst and the PEP team. Detailed projections are available for download by sex and 5-year age group for each city, town, county, and state region along with a summary report on the forecast method and the projected population growth in eight distinct Massachusetts regions. To view the projections, follow the link (on the right side of this page) to our interactive projections dashboard.
Note that modeled projections do not claim to predict the future, but rather may serve as points of reference for planners and researchers. In general, projections for small geographies and distant futures will be less predictive than projections for larger populations and near terms. Like all forecasts, our projections make assumptions about how past or recent trends will continue into the future. For this set, we use a component-of-change method based on trends observed in town-level fertility and mortality from 2000 through 2010, and regional, gross migration-by-age trends observed in data from the 2005-2012 American Community Survey. For more information, see our full methods description.
PEP also produces specialized population projections on a contract basis, including enrollment projections; small-area, detailed population projections by age, sex, race, and ethnicity; and projections of special populations. Contact us for more information on specialized projections work.
For more information:
Please contact Susan Strate at (413) 577-0753 or firstname.lastname@example.org.